{"id":1774,"date":"2024-06-20T00:50:52","date_gmt":"2024-06-20T05:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=1774"},"modified":"2024-12-01T14:40:32","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T19:40:32","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e7%89%b9%e6%99%ae%e6%9c%97%e8%83%bd%e5%af%b9%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%b9%b2%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=1774","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd: \u7279\u666e\u6717\u80fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e72\u4ec0\u4e48"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"7c644a\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #7c644a;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1776 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135-1536x1152.png 1536w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-135.png 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u63d2\u56fe\uff1a\u5f6d\u535a\u5546\u4e1a\u5468\u520a\u7684 Daniel Zender<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a 2024 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class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u603b\u7edf\u80fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u505a\u4ec0\u4e48\u548c\u4e0d\u80fd\u505a\u4ec0\u4e48<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4efb\u547d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u603b\u7edf\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u6743\u529b\u662f\u4efb\u547d\u5b98\u5458\u586b\u8865\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u7684\u7a7a\u7f3a\uff0c\u5e76\u4efb\u547d\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u4efb\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u7684\u5173\u952e\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7406\u4e8b\u4efb\u671f\u4e3a 14 \u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4efb\u671f\u4e3a 4 \u5e74\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u662f\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (FOMC) \u7684\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u8be5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u662f\u5236\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u673a\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u4e8e 2018 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"6d6168\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #6d6168;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1021\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138-1021x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1779 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138-1021x1024.png 1021w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138-768x771.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-138.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1021px) 100vw, 1021px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5a01\u5ec9\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u5207\u65af\u5c3c\u00b7\u9a6c\u4e01\u548c\u603b\u7edf\u6797\u767b\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u5728 1964 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2025\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u9879\u6b64\u7c7b\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u4e0b\u4e00\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u8bae\u7a0b\u3002\u5b83\u547c\u5401\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u65bd\u52a0\u66f4\u591a\u9650\u5236\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5b83\u5efa\u8bae\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u4f7f\u547d \u2014 \u2014 \u5373\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7269\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u5145\u5206\u5c31\u4e1a \u2014 \u2014 \u5e94\u8be5\u6539\u4e3a\u53ea\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6539\u9769\u7684\u538b\u529b\u4e5f\u6765\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u7206\u51fa\u9053\u5fb7\u4e11\u95fb\u540e\uff0c\u4e24\u515a\u8bae\u5458\u90fd\u8981\u6c42\u63d0\u9ad8\u6574\u4e2a\u592e\u884c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5730\u65b9\u94f6\u884c\u3002\u73af\u4fdd\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6743\u76ca\u4fdd\u62a4\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e5f\u6e38\u8bf4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u63aa\u65bd\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7ed9\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4eba\u6c11\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u884c\u52a8\u201d\u5021\u5bfc\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f18\u5148\u8003\u8651\u5176\u53cc\u91cd\u4f7f\u547d\u4e2d\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u52a0\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f24\u5bb3\u5f31\u52bf\u5de5\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"737373\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #737373;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"690\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-139-1024x690.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1780 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-139-1024x690.png 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-139-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-139-768x518.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-139.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>1968 \u5e74 8 \u6708 14 \u65e5\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u5c3c\u514b\u677e\u4e0e\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u5723\u5730\u4e9a\u54e5\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u56e2\u961f\u5408\u5f71\uff0c\u5c3c\u514b\u677e\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u6b63\u5728\u6982\u8ff0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u4ece\u5de6\u5230\u53f3\uff1a\u76ae\u57c3\u5c14\u00b7A\u00b7\u6797\u5f17\u96f7\u7279\u535a\u58eb\uff1b\u7c73\u5c14\u987f\u00b7\u5f17\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\u535a\u58eb\uff1b\u5c3c\u514b\u677e\uff1b\u963f\u745f\u00b7\u4f2f\u6069\u65af\u535a\u58eb\uff1b\u5510\u00b7\u73c0\u5c14\u4f2f\u683c\u535a\u58eb\u3002\u6444\u5f71\u5e08\uff1a\u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u7167\u7247<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u65bd\u538b\u8fd0\u52a8<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e24\u515a\u603b\u7edf\u90fd\u66fe\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u516c\u5f00\u548c\u79c1\u4e0b\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u4eec\u66fe\u4eb2\u81ea\u8868\u8fbe\u8fc7\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e9b\u8eab\u4f53\u5a01\u80c1\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1965\u5e74\uff0c\u6797\u767b\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u5c06\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5a01\u5ec9\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u5207\u65af\u5c3c\u00b7\u9a6c\u4e01\u53ec\u5230\u4ed6\u5728\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u7684\u7267\u573a\uff0c\u65a5\u8d23\u4ed6\u63d0\u9ad8\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20\u4e16\u7eaa 70 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u5c3c\u514b\u677e\u603b\u7edf\u66fe\u5bf9\u65f6\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u963f\u745f\u00b7\u4f2f\u6069\u65af\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u592e\u884c\u5f53\u65f6\u6ca1\u6709\u91c7\u53d6\u6709\u529b\u63aa\u65bd\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u62c5\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u516c\u5f00\u62a8\u51fb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u4ed6\u4efb\u804c\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u62dc\u767b\u5219\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728 3 \u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 4 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