{"id":2477,"date":"2024-07-30T00:02:45","date_gmt":"2024-07-30T05:02:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=2477"},"modified":"2024-12-01T13:51:56","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T18:51:56","slug":"%e4%b8%89%e6%98%9f-%e5%8a%a0%e5%85%a5%e6%b5%b7%e5%8a%9b%e5%a3%ab-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%89%e4%b8%80%e8%b5%b7%e7%93%9c%e5%88%86ai-%e5%86%85%e5%ad%98%e8%8a%af%e7%89%87%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=2477","title":{"rendered":"\u4e09\u661f: \u52a0\u5165\u6d77\u529b\u58eb, \u7f8e\u5149\u4e00\u8d77\u74dc\u5206AI \u5185\u5b58\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u573a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul 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\u6d77\u529b\u58eb\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9886\u57df\u4e00\u8dc3\u6210\u4e3a\u9886\u5148\u8005\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u97e9\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4e09\u661f\u80fd\u4ee5\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u594b\u8d77\u76f4\u8ffd\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f88\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\uff0c\u4e5f\u4ee4\u4eba\u611f\u5230\u60ed\u6127\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u4e09\u661f\u51ed\u501f\u5176\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e13\u4e1a\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u5728\u5185\u5b58\u82af\u7247\u5e02\u573a\u5904\u4e8e\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5728 HBM \u9886\u57df\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270\uff0c\u5b83\u4e8e 5 \u6708\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u6781\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u66f4\u6362\u4e86\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tirias Research \u5206\u6790\u5e08Jim McGregor\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u672a\u89c1\u8fc7\u4e09\u661f\u5904\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u5883\u5730\u3002\u884c\u4e1a\u548c Nvidia \u6bd4\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u90fd\u66f4\u9700\u8981\u4e09\u661f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u4e09\u661f\u5168\u529b\u4ee5\u8d74\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u62d2\u7edd\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u5177\u4f53\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u4f46\u8868\u793a\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5b83\u6b63\u5728\u4e0e\u5ba2\u6237\u5bc6\u5207\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8fdb\u5c55\u987a\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e09\u661f\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6210\u5c31\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u80fd\u591f\u5229\u7528\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u65fa\u76db\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229 (Morgan Stanley) \u8868\u793a\uff0cHBM \u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4ece\u53bb\u5e74\u7684 40 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u81f3 2027 \u5e74\u7684 710 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Liu\u5728\u672c\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u4e09\u661f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u60c5\u51b5\u6b63\u5728\u8fc5\u901f\u597d\u8f6c\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e24\u4eba\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5c06\u4e09\u661f\u5217\u4e3a\u9996\u9009\u80a1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e09\u661f\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u80fd\u62a2\u5360 10% \u7684 HBM \u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u7ea6 40 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6536\u5165\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e09\u661f\u5728\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u4ecd\u843d\u540e\u4e8e SK \u6d77\u529b\u58eb\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fdb\u5c55\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u5e76\u63d0\u632f\u80a1\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e09\u661f\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76ca\u62a5\u544a\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u6709\u5173\u5176 HBM \u6218\u7565\u7684\u8d28\u7591\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5c06\u63d0\u4f9b\u591a\u5c11\u7ec6\u8282\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"484b5f\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #484b5f;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-272-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2479 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-272-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-272-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-272-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-272.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u4e09\u661f\u7535\u5b50\u603b\u88c1\u674e\u5728\u9555 2 \u6708\u62b5\u8fbe\u9996\u5c14\u4e2d\u592e\u5730\u65b9\u6cd5\u9662\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u4e09\u661f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6709\u671b\u5728 11 \u6708\u4e4b\u524d\u83b7\u5f97 Nvidia \u7684\u6279\u51c6\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4ecd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u89e3\u51b3\u67d0\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e AI \u82af\u7247\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u77e5\u60c5\u4eba\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5176\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u8fdf\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e09\u661f\u7684\u5931\u8bef\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u65f6\u671f\u3002\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u957f\u674e\u5728\u9555\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0e\u68c0\u5bdf\u5b98\u5c31\u8d3f\u8d42\u548c\u8150\u8d25\u6307\u63a7\u8fdb\u884c\u6597\u4e89\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9ad8\u5c42\u9886\u5bfc\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5c06 HBM\u200b\u200b \u89c6\u4e3a\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u76f4\u5230 OpenAI \u4e8e 2022 \u5e74\u5e95\u63a8\u51fa ChatGPT \u5e76\u5f15\u53d1\u5bf9\u7528\u4e8e\u8bad\u7ec3 AI \u6a21\u578b\u7684 Nvidia \u82af\u7247\u7684\u72c2\u70ed\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e00\u76f4\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fae\u4e0d\u8db3\u9053\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SK \u6d77\u529b\u58eb\u5df2\u505a\u597d\u8fce\u63a5\u6311\u6218\u7684\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u800c\u4e09\u661f\u5219\u5728\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b0\u82af\u7247\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5de5\u7a0b\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270\u3002HBM \u7531\u4e00\u7ec4\u5806\u53e0\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u7684 DRAM \u82af\u7247\u7ec4\u6210\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u82af\u7247\u5806\u53e0\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8fbe\u5230 8 \u5c42\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u5c42\u90fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u91cf\u70ed\u91cf\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e Nvidia \u7684\u56fe\u5f62\u5904\u7406\u5355\u5143 (GPU) \u4e00\u8d77\u5305\u88c5\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b GPU \u672c\u8eab\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u5c31\u53ef\u8fbe\u5230 100 \u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u6563\u70ed\u548c\u51b7\u5374\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u5806\u6808\u90fd\u6709\u7194\u5316\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u60c5\u62a5\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6770\u514b\u00b7\u897f\u5c14\u5f17\u66fc(Jake Silverman ) \u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u968f\u7740\u5c42\u6570\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5408\u7406\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u6311\u6218\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u70ed\uff1a\u7531\u4e8e DRAM \u662f\u5806\u53e0\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u4f1a\u53d1\u70ed\u3002\u5b83\u79bb GPU \u975e\u5e38\u8fd1\uff0c\u800c GPU \u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u53d1\u70ed\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u5927\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u636e\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e0d\u613f\u900f\u9732\u59d3\u540d\u7684\u77e5\u60c5\u4eba\u58eb\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u4e09\u661f\u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u70ed\u8026\u5408\u95ee\u9898\u65b9\u9762\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u9ebb\u70e6\u3002\u4eca\u5e74 5 \u6708\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u884c\u52a8\uff1a\u5ba3\u5e03\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u90e8\u95e8\u8d1f\u8d23\u4ebaKyung Kye-hyun\u5c06\u5378\u4efb\uff0c\u7531Jun Young-hyun\u63a5\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5168\u5148\u751f\u4e8e 2000 \u5e74\u52a0\u5165\u4e09\u661f\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86 DRAM \u548c\u95ea\u5b58\u82af\u7247\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fc5\u901f\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5bfb\u627e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4f4d 63 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Bernstein \u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5728 7 \u6708\u4efd\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5230 2025 \u5e74\uff0cNvidia \u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u5176\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528 HBM3E\uff0c\u800c\u82af\u7247\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f7f\u7528\u5b83\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"89746f\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #89746f;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-274-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2481 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-274-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-274-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-274-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-274.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u4e09\u661f\u7684 HBM3E \u82af\u7247\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u4e09\u661f\u843d\u540e\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46 HBM3E \u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4ecd\u5c06\u4e3a\u4e09\u661f\u655e\u5f00\uff0c\u201d\u4ee5Mark Li\u4e3a\u9996\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8 (Micron Technology Inc.)\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5df2\u6279\u51c6\u5176 HBM3E \u82af\u7247\u7528\u4e8e\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684 AI 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