{"id":3715,"date":"2024-09-12T16:00:26","date_gmt":"2024-09-12T21:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=3715"},"modified":"2024-12-01T14:46:29","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T19:46:29","slug":"%e6%99%ae%e4%ba%ac%e5%86%85%e9%98%81-%e5%9c%a8%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e5%92%8c%e5%88%b6%e8%a3%81%e4%b8%8b%e4%bb%8d%e7%9c%8b%e5%88%b0%e5%85%89%e6%98%8e%e7%9a%84%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%89%8d%e6%99%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=3715","title":{"rendered":"\u666e\u4eac\u5185\u9601: \u5728\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u5236\u88c1\u4e0b\u4ecd\u770b\u5230\u5149\u660e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2030 \u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0e\u666e\u4eac\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u524d\u627f\u8bfa\u76f8\u7b26<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u79f0\uff0cGDP \u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u8d85\u51fa\u8fd1\u671f\u5386\u53f2\u6c34\u5e73<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"85868b\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #85868b;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-138-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3716 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-138-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-138-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-138-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-138.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" 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3%\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u592e\u884c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5448\u73b0\u79ef\u6781\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0e\u4f17\u591a\u672a\u89c1\u653f\u5e9c\u5185\u90e8\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u5230 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af GDP \u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 1.5%\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u592e\u884c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u590d\u5174\u8d44\u672c\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5965\u5217\u683c\u00b7\u5e93\u5179\u660e (Oleg Kuzmin) \u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201c\u8fd9\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"dde5e9\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #dde5e9;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"678\" height=\"369\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-139.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3717 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-139.png 678w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-139-300x163.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" 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\u6708\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u524d\u4e0d\u4e45\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u8bae\u4f1a\u53d1\u8868\u5e74\u5ea6\u8bb2\u8bdd\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e3a\u8017\u8d44\u6570\u767e\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u9879\u76ee\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86 2030 \u5e74\u76ee\u6807\u540e\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4ece\u901a\u5e38\u7684\u4e09\u5e74\u9884\u6d4b\u6539\u4e3a\u516d\u5e74\u9884\u7b97\u89c4\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e9a\u5386\u514b\u65af\u00b7\u4f0a\u8428\u79d1\u592b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u53d1\u59d1\u5a18\u60c5\u666f\u201d\u4e0b\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u6807\u5230 2030 \u5e74\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u201c\u52c9\u5f3a\u201d\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728 2022 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u5165\u4fb5\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u540e\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u53f2\u65e0\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u6218\u65f6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9010\u6e10\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u56fd\u9632\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u56fd\u5185\u4f01\u4e1a\u514d\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5f3a\u52b2\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u8bba\u79f0&#8230;&#8230;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac\u51c6\u5907\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5373\u4e3a 2024-30 \u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u4efb\u671f\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u51e0\u4e4e\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u2014\u2014\u9274\u4e8e\u592e\u884c\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u5927\u2014\u2014\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\u653f\u5e9c\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014\u2014\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e9a\u5386\u514b\u65af\u00b7\u4f0a\u8428\u79d1\u592b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u589e\u957f 3.9%\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u548c\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u5206\u522b\u589e\u957f 9% \u548c 7% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\u81f3\u6bcf\u5e74 2.5%-2.8%\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728 2028 \u5e74\u81f3 2030 \u5e74\u6062\u590d 3% \u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\u95ee\u9898\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u5c06\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u957f 2.8%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u8981\u5230 2026 \u5e74\u624d\u4f1a\u653e\u7f13\u81f3\u592e\u884c 4% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u52a0\u901f\u8feb\u4f7f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u592e\u884c\u5728 7 \u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u5176\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03 200 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f3 18%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f3f3f3\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f3f3f3;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"663\" height=\"343\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-140.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3718 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-140.png 663w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-140-300x155.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 663px) 100vw, 663px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u5b89\u4e1c\u00b7\u897f\u5362\u5b89\u8bfa\u592b\u4e0a\u5468\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c65\u884c\u666e\u4eac\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u662f\u5f53\u52a1\u4e4b\u6025\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5fc5\u987b\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u516d\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u8d22\u653f\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9700\u6c42\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u8dcc\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 71 \u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u89c4\u5212\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u4e8b\u4ef6\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u98a0\u8986\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u57fa\u51c6\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a 83.5 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u4e3a 81.7 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 2.6% \u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u9884\u8ba1\u5de5\u4e1a\u5c06\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4ece 2028 \u5e74\u7684 3.3% \u5c0f\u5e45\u52a0\u901f\u81f3 2030 \u5e74\u7684 3.7%\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u96f6\u552e\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a 4%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"d4d9db\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #d4d9db;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"355\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-141.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3719 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-141.png 681w, 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