{"id":5877,"date":"2024-11-11T01:51:04","date_gmt":"2024-11-11T06:51:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=5877"},"modified":"2024-12-01T13:39:29","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T18:39:29","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e6%8e%a5%e8%bf%91%e5%88%9b%e7%ba%aa%e5%bd%95%e7%9a%841%e4%b8%87%e4%ba%bf%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e9%a1%ba%e5%b7%ae%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=5877","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd: \u63a5\u8fd1\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u76841\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u6ee1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u51fa\u53e3\u5230\u8fd1170\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5bf9\u7f8e\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u4e1c\u76df\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u987a\u5dee\u5f15\u53d1\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u62c5\u5fe7<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u6709\u671b\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u521b\u4e0b\u65b0\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5b83\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u6108\u53d1\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5546\u4e1a\u4e2d\u7684\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\uff0c<strong>\u8fd9\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf Donald Trump \u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c<strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u989d\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1\u00a01\u4e07\u4ebf\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u5728\u524d\u5341\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u98d9\u5347\u81f31\u4e07\u4ebf\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u5728\u524d\u5341\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u98d9\u5347\u81f37850 \u4ebf\uff0c\u662f\u8be5\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6bd42023\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u4e86 \u8fd1 16% \u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"d9d2d5\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #d9d2d5;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"659\" height=\"389\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-92-png.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5883 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-92-png.webp 659w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-92-300x177.webp 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 659px) 100vw, 659px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Brad Setser<\/em>\uff0c<em>Council on Foreign Relations<\/em>\u00a0\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5728\u00a0<em>X<\/em>\u00a0\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\u3002<strong>\u201c\u6574\u4f53\u6545\u4e8b\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u518d\u6b21\u4f9d\u8d56\u51fa\u53e3\u6765\u589e\u957f\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4f9d\u8d56\u51fa\u53e3\u6765\u5f25\u8865\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u4eac\u6700\u8fd1\u624d\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u5411\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce8\u5165\u523a\u6fc0\u6765\u7ea0\u6b63\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u65e5\u76ca\u503e\u659c\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u800c\u65b0\u7684\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u3002\u6765\u81ea\u5357\u7f8e\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\uff08\u5982\u94a2\u94c1\u548c\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\uff09\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u5173\u7a0e\u58c1\u5792\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f6f6f7\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f6f6f7;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"588\" height=\"719\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-91-png.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5882 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-91-png.webp 588w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-91-245x300.webp 245w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 588px) 100vw, 588px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5916\u8d44\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e5f\u5728\u64a4\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5468\u4e94\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u524d\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u8d1f\u503a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5269\u4f59\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u81ea1990\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5e74\u51c0\u6d41\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u662f\u627f\u8bfa\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u4e8e\u5468\u4e94\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u63d0\u5347\u5bf9\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5916\u8d38\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5e76\u7a33\u5b9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\u4e2d\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u63d0\u5347\u5176\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u3001\u65e5\u76ca\u7535\u6c14\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u5916\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u5546\u54c1\u88ab\u56fd\u5185\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u5bf9\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>10\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u987a\u5dee\uff0c\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e6\u6708\u521b\u4e0b\u7684\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u524d\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u4ee5\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u540d\u4e49\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u7684<strong>5.2%<\/strong>\uff0c\u662f\u81ea2015\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-dominant-color=\"e6dce4\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #e6dce4;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"662\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-90-png.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5881 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-90-png.webp 662w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-90-300x177.webp 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 662px) 100vw, 662px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u987a\u5dee\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f\u4e86<strong>4.4%<\/strong>\u3002\u4e0e\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u987a\u5dee\u589e\u957f\u4e86<strong>9.6%<\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u4e0e\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u5341\u56fd\uff08<em>Asean<\/em>\uff09\u7684\u987a\u5dee\u5219\u6fc0\u589e\u8fd1<strong>36%<\/strong>\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5931\u8861\u4e5f\u5728\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u5411\u8fd1170\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u6570\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7\u5176\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2021\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8d27\u5e01\u6218\u4e89\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u915d\u917f\u4e2d\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5176\u51c6\u5907\u8ba9\u5370\u5ea6\u5362\u6bd4\u8d2c\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u987a\u5dee\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u5df2\u8fbe\u5230 $850 \u4ebf\uff0c\u6bd42023\u5e74\u589e\u957f3%\uff0c\u662f\u4e94\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u591a\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e2d\u56fd<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E8%B4%B8%E6%98%93%E9%A1%BA%E5%B7%AE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Donald Trump<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Setser\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Brad Setser<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Council-on-Foreign-Relations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Council on Foreign Relations<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E5%A4%96%E5%95%86%E7%9B%B4%E6%8E%A5%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E4%BA%BA%E6%B0%91%E5%B8%81\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5370\u5ea6<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Asean\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Asean<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E9%92%A2%E9%93%81\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u94a2\u94c1<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E7%94%B5%E5%8A%A8%E6%B1%BD%E8%BD%A6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E7%BB%8F%E6%B5%8E%E5%A2%9E%E9%95%BF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 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