{"id":6563,"date":"2024-11-30T09:59:10","date_gmt":"2024-11-30T14:59:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=6563"},"modified":"2025-02-03T00:04:44","modified_gmt":"2025-02-03T05:04:44","slug":"ned-davis-%e5%b0%86%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e8%af%84%e7%ba%a7%e4%b8%8a%e8%b0%83%e8%87%b3%e5%a2%9e%e6%8c%81%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e5%85%b6%e4%b8%8a%e6%b6%a822","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=6563","title":{"rendered":"Ned Davis: \u5c06\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u8bc4\u7ea7\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f3\u589e\u6301\uff0c\u56e0\u5176\u4e0a\u6da822%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u80a1\u5e02\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c34\u5e73<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u516c\u53f8\u79f0\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u201c\u4f30\u503c\u66f4\u5177\u4f18\u52bf\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e4b\u540e<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5168\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u4fc3\u4f7f&nbsp;<em>Ned Davis Research<\/em>&nbsp;\u547c\u5401\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4e0a\u5e02\u80a1\u7968\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f3\u8d85\u914d\u6765\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u655e\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u4f18\u80dc\u8005\uff0c\u201d\u00a0<em>Ned Davis Research<\/em>\u00a0\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u00a0<em>Tim Hayes<\/em>\u00a0\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u201c\u4f30\u503c\u4ecd\u7136\u8981\u597d\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5bf9\u5de8\u5934\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u4f9d\u8d56\u6027\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c<em>S&amp;P\/TSX \u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570<\/em>&nbsp;\u6b63\u5728\u6709\u671b\u521b\u4e0b\u81ea&nbsp;<strong>2009<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u8be5\u57fa\u51c6\u4eca\u5e74\u5df2\u7ecf&nbsp;<strong>42<\/strong>&nbsp;\u6b21\u521b\u4e0b\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86&nbsp;<strong>22%<\/strong>\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0e&nbsp;<em>S&amp;P 500<\/em>&nbsp;\u7684&nbsp;<strong>26%<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c<em>Hayes<\/em>\u00a0\u73b0\u5728\u5efa\u8bae\u5ba2\u6237\u5c06\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u00a05%\u00a0\u914d\u7f6e\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u00a069%\u00a0\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6743\u91cd\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u5c06\u5bf9\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u63a8\u8350\u655e\u53e3\u524a\u51cf\u81f3\u00a0<strong>5%<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\u90a3\u91cc\u7684\u666e\u904d\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Ned-Davis-Research\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ned Davis Research<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Tim-Hayes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tim Hayes<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=S&amp;P\/TSX-%E7%BB%BC%E5%90%88%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">S&amp;P\/TSX \u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=S&amp;P-500\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">S&amp;P 500<\/a>, \u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968, \u8d85\u914d, \u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408, \u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u80a1\u7968, \u4f30\u503c, \u884c\u4e1a\u4f9d\u8d56\u6027<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Ned Davis Research<\/em>&nbsp;\u5efa\u8bae\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u655e\u53e3\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5176\u672a\u6765\u8868\u73b0\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f18\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>S&amp;P\/TSX \u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570<\/em>\u00a0\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0a\u6da8\u00a0<strong>22%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u521b\u4e0b\u8bb0\u5f55\u00a0<strong>42<\/strong>\u00a0\u6b21<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>S&amp;P 500<\/em>\u00a0\u4e0a\u6da8\u00a0<strong>26%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a<strong>5%<\/strong>\u00a0\u914d\u7f6e\u4e8e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\uff0c<strong>69%<\/strong>\u00a0\u914d\u7f6e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u9274\u4e8e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u8868\u73b0\u548c\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5c06\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8c03\u6574\u4e3a\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4e0a\u5e02\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u914d\u7f6e\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u667a\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u655e\u53e3\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0cHayes\u00a0\u73b0\u5728\u5efa\u8bae\u5ba2\u6237\u5c06\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u00a05%\u00a0\u914d\u7f6e\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80a1\u7968\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u00a069%\u00a0\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6743\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6568,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1574,1914,407,176,41],"class_list":["post-6563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-invest","tag-tsx","tag-1914","tag-jia-na-da","tag-xin-xing-shi-chang","tag-41"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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