{"id":7464,"date":"2024-12-17T01:04:34","date_gmt":"2024-12-17T06:04:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=7464"},"modified":"2024-12-17T01:04:38","modified_gmt":"2024-12-17T06:04:38","slug":"%e9%ab%98%e7%9b%9b%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6-%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%9c%a81%e6%9c%88%e4%bb%bd%e4%b8%8d%e4%bc%9a%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=7464","title":{"rendered":"\u9ad8\u76db\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6: \u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57281\u6708\u4efd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u964d\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u660e\u786e\u5e0c\u671b\u51cf\u7f13\u653e\u677e\uff1a\u9ad8\u76db\u62a5\u544a<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u94f6\u884c\u4ecd\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e&nbsp;<em>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.<\/em>&nbsp;\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c<em>Federal Reserve<\/em>&nbsp;\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u53d1\u51fa\u672a\u6765\u653e\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u6b65\u4f10\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u8df3\u8fc7\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u4ecd\u4f1a\u5b9e\u65bd&nbsp;<strong>25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u8868\u660e\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u660e\u786e\u201d\u7684\u613f\u671b\u6765\u51cf\u7f13\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u5728\u5468\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u901a\u77e5\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u5305\u62ec&nbsp;<em>Jan Hatzius<\/em>&nbsp;\u5728\u5185\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e&nbsp;<em>Fed<\/em>&nbsp;\u5bf92024\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4ecd\u7136\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u58f0\u660e\u548c\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u7684\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u51cf\u7f13\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u66f4\u5f3a\u8c03\u9010\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u548c\u6570\u636e\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u4eec\u5199\u9053\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u542c\u5230\u8fd9\u4e24\u6761\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u4e2a\u6697\u793a\u51cf\u7f13\u6b65\u4f10\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Goldman<\/em>\u00a0\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u672c\u5468\u964d\u606f\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4e3a\u00a090%\uff0c\u4f46\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u518d\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Goldman<\/em>\u00a0\u7ee7\u7eed\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u00a03\u6708\u30016\u6708\u548c9\u6708\u00a0\u5c06\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7ec8\u7aef\u5229\u7387\u7565\u9ad8\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u00a03.5%-3.75%\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u51c6\u548c\u6982\u7387\u52a0\u6743\u7684&nbsp;<em>Fed<\/em>&nbsp;\u9884\u6d4b\u4ecd\u7136\u6bd4\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u7565\u663e\u9e3d\u6d3e\uff0c\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u5199\u9053\u3002\u201c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a&nbsp;<em>Trump<\/em>&nbsp;\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0b\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u662f\u66f4\u5177\u53cc\u9762\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5e38\u5e38\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Goldman-Sachs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Goldman Sachs<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Federal-Reserve\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Reserve<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Hatzius\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jan Hatzius<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E9%99%8D%E6%81%AF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u964d\u606f<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E9%80%9A%E8%B4%A7%E8%86%A8%E8%83%80\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E5%A4%B1%E4%B8%9A%E7%8E%87\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5931\u4e1a\u7387<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96%E6%94%BE%E6%9D%BE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u653f\u7b56\u653e\u677e<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E5%AE%9A%E4%BB%B7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Trump-%E6%94%BF%E5%BA%9C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Trump \u653f\u5e9c<\/a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84%E6%9C%BA%E4%BC%9A\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c<em>Federal Reserve<\/em>\u00a0\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u53d1\u51fa\u964d\u606f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u8df3\u8fc7\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9884\u8ba1\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u5b9e\u65bd\u00a0<strong>25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5df2\u88ab\u6392\u9664\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u672a\u6765\u964d\u606f\u65f6\u95f4\u9884\u671f\u4e3a\u00a0<strong>3\u6708\u30016\u6708\u548c9\u6708<\/strong>\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7ec8\u7aef\u5229\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u00a0<strong>3.5%-3.75%<\/strong>\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u672c\u5468\u964d\u606f\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4e3a\u00a0<strong>90%<\/strong>\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u00a0<em>Federal Reserve<\/em>\u00a0\u786e\u5b9e\u53d1\u51fa\u653e\u7f13\u964d\u606f\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u80a1\u5e02\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u5173\u6ce8\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u5982\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u5e94\u5173\u6ce8\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u4e70\u5165\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e5f\u5e94\u5173\u6ce8\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u4e70\u5165\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1580],"tags":[879,1540,549,86,47],"class_list":["post-7464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-1580","tag-879","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-549","tag-jiang-xi","tag-47"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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