{"id":7609,"date":"2024-12-19T10:27:30","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T15:27:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=7609"},"modified":"2024-12-19T10:27:33","modified_gmt":"2024-12-19T15:27:33","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e4%b8%bb%e5%b8%ad%e9%b2%8d%e5%a8%81%e5%b0%94-%e8%b4%a7%e5%b8%81%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e9%87%8d%e5%bf%83%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e5%9b%9e%e5%88%b0%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=7609","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14: \u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u5fc3\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u95ee\u9898"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u79f02024\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b\u201c\u6709\u70b9\u5d29\u6e83\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5b98\u5458\u9884\u6d4b\u660e\u5e74\u4ec5\u6709\u4e24\u6b21\u964d\u606f<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u4ee5\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7ed3\u675f\u4e862024\u5e74\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u70c8\u6697\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u4e3a\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3b\u5e2d&nbsp;<strong>Jerome Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u76f4\u8a00\u4e0d\u8bb3\u5730\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u592e\u884c\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b&#8221;\u5df2\u7ecf\u5d29\u6e83&#8221;\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u8fbe\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fde\u7eed\u8fd1\u56db\u5e74\u672a\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5bf9\u660e\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c<strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u90fd\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5728\u51b7\u5374\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u66f4\u5f3a\u5173\u6ce8\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u6218\u7565\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u4e0e9\u6708\u4efd\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u75b2\u8f6f\u662f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u505c\u6ede\u5728\u592e\u884c2%\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u2014\u2014\u603b\u7edf\u5f53\u9009\u4eba&nbsp;<strong>Donald Trump<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u63d0\u8bae\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff1a&#8221;\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u8651\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5bfb\u6c42\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u572812\u4e2a\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u6a2a\u5411\u79fb\u52a8\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4ec5\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u534a\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u662f9\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u65b0\u9884\u671f\u8def\u5f84\u53cd\u5e94\u8fc5\u901f\u4e14\u5267\u70c8\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u591a\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5f3a\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c31\u5728\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\uff0c<strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8bf4\u670d\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u534a\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u968f\u774011\u6708\u548c\u5468\u4e09\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u70b9\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e09\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\u5c06\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6574\u6574\u4e00\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2001\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u5916\u6700\u9661\u5ced\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Powell\u00a0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f34.25%-4.5%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u00a0Cleveland Fed\u00a0\u4e3b\u5e2d\u00a0Beth Hammack\u00a0\u6295\u7968\u53cd\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669&nbsp;<strong>Brean Capital LLC<\/strong>&nbsp;\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee&nbsp;<strong>Conrad Dequadros<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8868\u793a\uff1a&#8221;\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u8981\u83b7\u5f97\u964d\u606f\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u6211\u60f3\uff0c\u5206\u6b67\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u4e00\u7968\u53cd\u5bf9\u6240\u663e\u793a\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u73b0\u572819\u4f4d\u5b98\u5458\u4e2d\u670915\u4f4d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u8d85\u8fc7\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e9\u6708\u4efd\u53ea\u67093\u4f4d\u6301\u76f8\u540c\u770b\u6cd5\u76f8\u6bd4\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>14\u4f4d\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bb8\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c<strong>Trump<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u51cf\u7a0e\u3001\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u9a71\u9010\u548c\u65b0\u5173\u7a0e\u8ba1\u5212\u5b58\u5728\u523a\u6fc0\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u572812\u6708\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u786e\u5b9e\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u63d0\u8bae\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7eb3\u5165\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;\u5f53\u8def\u5f84\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u8d70\u5f97\u6162\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5e38\u8bc6\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u50cf\u5728\u96fe\u591c\u5f00\u8f66\u6216\u8d70\u8fdb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6ee1\u662f\u5bb6\u5177\u7684\u9ed1\u6697\u623f\u95f4\u3002\u4f60\u53ea\u662f\u653e\u6162\u811a\u6b65\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>&#8220;\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u00a0<strong>Powell<\/strong>\u00a0\u66fe\u8868\u793a\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a8\u6d4b\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u00a0<strong>Trump<\/strong>\u00a0\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u65b0\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u6458\u8981\uff08SEP\uff09\u4e2d\u66f4\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u589e\u957f\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9884\u6d4b\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5b98\u5458\u786e\u5b9e\u5047\u8bbe\u5c06\u4e8e\u660e\u5e74\u5230\u671f\u7684\u51cf\u7a0e\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6cd5\u6848\u5c06\u88ab\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002<strong>Powell<\/strong>\u00a0\u5728\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8bc1\u5b9e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014&nbsp;<strong>Anna Wong<\/strong>,&nbsp;<strong>Stuart Paul<\/strong>,&nbsp;<strong>Eliza Winger<\/strong>&nbsp;\u548c&nbsp;<strong>Chris Collins<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a2.5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e9\u6708\u4efd2.1%\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u589e\u957f\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u66f4\u65b0\u540e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u9884\u8ba1\u8981\u52302027\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u8fbe\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Guggenheim Investments<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1\u3001\u524d&nbsp;<strong>New York Fed<\/strong>&nbsp;\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458&nbsp;<strong>Patricia Zobel<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8868\u793a\uff1a&#8221;\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u80af\u5b9a\u5173\u6ce8\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5c06\u5176\u91cd\u65b0\u964d\u4f4e\u7684\u4f7f\u547d\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u901a\u80c0\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u4e0d\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u592a\u5927\u635f\u5bb3\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u51b7\u5374\uff0c\u4f46&nbsp;<strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u4ecd\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u94b1\u5305\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong>&nbsp;\u627f\u8ba4\uff1a&#8221;\u4eba\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u9ad8\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u505a\u7684\u6700\u597d\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u4e4b\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8ba9\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u5230\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Jerome-Powell\">Jerome Powell<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Donald-Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Cleveland-Fed\">Cleveland Fed<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Brean-Capital\">Brean Capital<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Guggenheim-Investments\">Guggenheim Investments<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u66f4\u5f3a\u5173\u6ce8\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u6218\u7565\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul 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