{"id":8020,"date":"2025-01-13T22:27:04","date_gmt":"2025-01-14T03:27:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=8020"},"modified":"2025-01-13T22:27:07","modified_gmt":"2025-01-14T03:27:07","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba%e6%8a%9b%e5%94%ae%ef%bc%9a%e5%b0%b1%e4%b8%9a%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%b3%a2%e5%8a%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=8020","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u629b\u552e\uff1a\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>10\u5e74\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57284.8%\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u521b2023\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u65b0\u9ad8<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4ef7\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u540e\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9<strong>Federal Reserve<\/strong>\u4eca\u5e74\u51e0\u4e4e\u6682\u505c\u964d\u606f\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US 10-year<\/strong>\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5468\u4e00\u4e0a\u5347\u81f34.8%\uff0c\u4e3a2023\u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u81ea\u4e5d\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u4ee5\u6765\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u8df3\u8dc3\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c<strong>30-year<\/strong>\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u9996\u6b21\u7a81\u78345%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e00\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5347\u81f35%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u52a8\u5411\u6e90\u4e8e\u5bf9\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5feb\u901f\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u52a1\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u62bc\u6ce8<strong>Fed<\/strong>\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6b21\u653e\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u8981\u52302025\u5e74\u5e95\u3002\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u98d9\u5347\u4e5f\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u52302024\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u6001\u52bf\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u6301\u7eed\u7a33\u5065\u548c\u6709\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u201d<strong>WisdomTree<\/strong>\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1<strong>Kevin Flanagan<\/strong>\u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c<strong>10-year<\/strong>\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8fbe\u52305%\u7684\u4e09\u91cd\u594f\u5927\u6982\u53ea\u662f\u51e0\u5929\u6216\u8005\u51e0\u5468\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f2f2f2\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f2f2f2;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-67-1024x551.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8028 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-67-1024x551.webp 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-67-300x162.webp 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-67-768x413.webp 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-67-png.webp 1211w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e94\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9<strong>Russia<\/strong>\u6cb9\u8d38\u6613\u5b9e\u65bd\u8fc4\u4eca\u6700\u5168\u9762\u548c\u6700\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u540e\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c12\u6708\u4efd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0\u4e86256,000\uff0c\u662f\u81ea\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Swaps traders<\/strong>\u76ee\u524d\u9884\u8ba1<strong>Fed<\/strong>\u4eca\u5e74\u4ec5\u4f1a\u964d\u606f0.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u5468\u4e94\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e24\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u30020.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f\u9884\u8ba1\u8981\u5230\u5341\u6708\u5de6\u53f3\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f17\u591a<strong>Wall Street<\/strong>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e5f\u7f29\u51cf\u6216\u53d6\u6d88\u4e86\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74<strong>Fed<\/strong>\u989d\u5916\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<strong>Barclays<\/strong>\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ece\u4e4b\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e24\u6b21\u964d\u81f3\u4e00\u6b210.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u800c Citigroup Inc. \u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5c06\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u4ece\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u63a8\u8fdf\u5230\u4e94\u6708\u3002 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. \u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e2\u961f\u73b0\u5728\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u5c06\u6709\u4e24\u6b210.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a\u4e09\u6b21\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fed<\/strong>\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u6574\u6ce2\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u503a\u5238\u627f\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u76ee\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u95ee\u9898\u662f<strong>Fed<\/strong>\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u9700\u8981\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u201d<strong>ING<\/strong>\u5916\u6c47\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1<strong>Chris Turner<\/strong>\u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u575a\u633a\u6b63\u5728\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u5f62\u6210\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u4eec\u7684\u770b\u6cd5&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u672c\u5468\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u53ca\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u9762\u4e34\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mark Cranfield<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Markets Live<\/strong>\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u73b0\u5728\u8d28\u7591\u7f8e\u56fd\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8fd8\u80fd\u4e0a\u5347\u591a\u5c11\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u8003\u8651<strong>Fed<\/strong>\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5173\u6ce8\u70b9\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u5468\u4e8c\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5468\u4e09\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201c\u901a\u80c0\u672c\u5468\u786e\u5b9e\u662f\u90a3\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u70b9\uff0c\u201dNuveen\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Laura Cooper\u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u5728\u4e8e\u53d9\u4e8b\u53ef\u80fd\u8f6c\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E5%85%B3%E9%94%AE%E8%AF%8D\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Federal-Reserve\">Federal-Reserve<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=US-10-year\">US-10-year<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Oil-prices\">Oil-prices<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=WisdomTree\">WisdomTree<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Kevin-Flanagan\">Kevin-Flanagan<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E9%A2%84%E6%B5%8B\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u51e0\u4e4e\u6682\u505c\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E6%91%98%E8%A6%81\"><strong>\u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>US 10-year<\/strong>\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u81f34.8%\uff0c\u4e3a2023\u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>30-year<\/strong>\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7a81\u78345%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u7ea65%\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>12\u6708\u4efd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0256,000\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fed<\/strong>\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u4ec5\u964d\u606f0.25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u8fdf\u81f32025\u5e74\u5e95\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6cb9\u4ef7\u56e0\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6cb9\u5236\u88c1\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" 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