{"id":8731,"date":"2025-02-25T09:36:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-25T14:36:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=8731"},"modified":"2025-02-25T09:36:36","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T14:36:36","slug":"%e5%bb%ba%e6%88%bf%e5%95%86%ef%bc%9a%e9%ab%98%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8e%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e6%8b%85%e5%bf%a7%e4%bd%bf%e6%a0%87%e6%99%ae500%e6%8e%a5%e8%bf%91%e5%ba%95%e9%83%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=8731","title":{"rendered":"\u5efa\u623f\u5546\uff1a\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u5173\u7a0e\u62c5\u5fe7\u4f7f\u6807\u666e500\u63a5\u8fd1\u5e95\u90e8"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u57fa\u91d1\u8ddf\u8e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u6216\u8fce\u6765\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u6708\u5ea6\u8d44\u91d1\u5916\u6d41<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u770b\u8dcc\u6280\u672f\u4fe1\u53f7\u9884\u793a\u884c\u4e1a\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u538b\u529b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u4ee5\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u629b\u552e&nbsp;<strong>US<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5efa\u7b51\u5546\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e76\u6697\u793a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u63a5\u8fde\u800c\u6765\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5468\u4e8c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c<strong>US<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5efa\u7b51\u5546\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u57282\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u81f3\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5929\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f97\u77e51\u6708\u4efd\u7684&nbsp;<strong>US<\/strong>&nbsp;\u4f4f\u623f\u5f00\u5de5\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u8c6a\u534e\u5efa\u7b51\u5546&nbsp;<strong>Toll Brothers Inc.<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u75b2\u5f31\u8d22\u62a5\u786e\u8ba4\u4e86\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u5f62\u52bf\uff1a\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6b63\u5728\u538b\u5236\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u5a01\u80c1\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u5229\u6da6\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5e0c\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u81ea\u603b\u7edf&nbsp;<strong>Donald Trump<\/strong>&nbsp;\u5f53\u9009\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c<strong>Homebuilders<\/strong>&nbsp;\u662f&nbsp;<strong>S&amp;P 500 Index<\/strong>&nbsp;\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5dee\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8624%\u3002\u968f\u77402\u6708\u8fd8\u6709\u516d\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\uff0c\u8ddf\u8e2a\u8be5\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u57fa\u91d1 \u2014\u2014&nbsp;<strong>iShares US Home Construction ETF<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014\u2014 \u51c6\u5907\u8bb0\u5f55\u5176\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u7ee7\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u589e\u957f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u5efa\u7b51\u5546\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5347\u4e8670%\uff0c\u800c&nbsp;<strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong>&nbsp;\u4e0a\u5347\u4e8653%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Paul Nolte<\/strong>\uff0c<strong>Murphy &amp; Sylvest Wealth Management<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u548c\u9ad8\u7ea7\u8d22\u5bcc\u7ecf\u7406\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6211\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u8f7b\u4e3e\u5984\u52a8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u6301\u4ed3\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5728\u4e3a\u66f4\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u6839\u636e&nbsp;<strong>Susquehanna International Group<\/strong>&nbsp;\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u7ba1&nbsp;<strong>Christopher Murphy<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4&nbsp;<strong>homebuilders<\/strong>&nbsp;\u514d\u53d7\u635f\u5931\u7684\u671f\u6743\u9700\u6c42\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"eeeded\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #eeeded;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"555\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-139-1024x555.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8738 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-139-1024x555.webp 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-139-300x163.webp 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-139-768x416.webp 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-139-png.webp 1207w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u5f98\u5f8a\u57287%\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u800c\u65b0\u5efa\u5355\u6237\u4f4f\u5b85\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u4ef7\u683c\u6bd42019\u5e7412\u6708\u9ad8\u51fa30%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5171\u540c\u5df2\u7ecf\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8d1f\u62c5\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u53ef\u80fd\u5f81\u653625%\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u768410%\u7a0e\u8d39\uff0c\u5a01\u80c1\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u5efa\u7b51\u6750\u6599\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u6839\u636e\u00a0National Association of Home Builders\u00a0\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5927\u7ea632%\u7684\u5bb6\u7535\u548c30%\u7684\u8f6f\u6728\u952f\u6750\u6765\u81ea\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>22V Research<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684&nbsp;<strong>Dennis DeBusschere<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002\u201d \u4ed6\u5728\u5468\u56db\u7ed9\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u8bf4\u660e\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4f4f\u623f\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u6027\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u201d \u5e76\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f36%\u5bf9\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DeBusschere<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u201c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u6d3b\u52a8\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u8d8b\u4e8e\u5e73\u7a33\u6216\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong>homebuilder<\/strong>&nbsp;\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u6b63\u5728\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5e02\u51c0\u7387\u73b0\u5df2\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5176\u957f\u671f\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u572812\u4e2a\u6708\u6216\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u5165\u573a\u70b9\u4ee5\u5e03\u5c40\u957f\u671f\u7684\u987a\u98ce\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u201d&nbsp;<strong>DeBusschere<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8bf4\u3002\u6839\u636e&nbsp;<strong>Bloomberg<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7f16\u5236\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u5176\u5e74\u8d26\u9762\u4ef7\u503c\u76841.8\u500d\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c<strong>S&amp;P 500 Index<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u500d\u6570\u4e3a5.3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\u4f4f\u623f\u884c\u4e1a\u4f1a\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\u5f53\u524d\u623f\u5c4b\u62e5\u6709\u7387\u4e0e\u957f\u671f\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5c06\u6709300\u4e07\u5957\u4f4f\u623f\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4ea4\u6613\u6a21\u5f0f\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f68\u8ff9\u7684\u6280\u672f\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u65b0\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u4fe1\u53f7\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u75db\u82e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f2f2f1\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f2f2f1;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-140-1024x550.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8739 not-transparent\" srcset=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-140-1024x550.webp 1024w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-140-300x161.webp 300w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-140-768x412.webp 768w, https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-140-png.webp 1207w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u5468\uff0c<strong>iShares homebuilding ETF<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u77ed\u6682\u5730\u5c06\u5176\u63a8\u5230\u4e86\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u6f5c\u5728\u5730\u6697\u793a\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Miller Tabak + Co.<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08&nbsp;<strong>Matt Maley<\/strong>&nbsp;\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u8dcc\u7834\u4e0a\u4e2a\u590f\u5929\u7ea697.50\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u5c06\u786e\u8ba4\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u201d \u201c<strong>Homebuilders<\/strong>&nbsp;\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5176\u4ed6\u9886\u57df\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E5%85%B3%E9%94%AE%E8%AF%8D\"><strong>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=US%E5%BB%BA%E7%AD%91%E5%95%86\">US\u5efa\u7b51\u5546<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=Toll-Brothers\">Toll-Brothers<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=iShares-US-Home-Construction-ETF\">iShares-US-Home-Construction-ETF<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=S&amp;P500\">S&amp;P500<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?tag=National-Association-of-Home-Builders\">National-Association-of-Home-Builders<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E9%A2%84%E6%B5%8B\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u7531\u4e8e\u9ad8\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c<strong>US\u5efa\u7b51\u5546<\/strong>\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u77ed\u7f3a\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E6%91%98%E8%A6%81\"><strong>\u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>US\u5efa\u7b51\u5546<\/strong>\u4fe1\u5fc3\u57282\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u81f3\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Homebuilders<\/strong>\u884c\u4e1a\u81ea\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5f53\u9009\u4ee5\u6765\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8624%\uff0c\u4e0e<strong>S&amp;P500<\/strong>\u768453%\u76f8\u6bd4\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u5f98\u5f8a\u57287%\uff0c\u65b0\u5efa\u5355\u6237\u4f4f\u5b85\u4ef7\u683c\u8f832019\u5e7412\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8630%\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7ea632%\u7684\u5bb6\u7535\u548c30%\u7684\u8f6f\u6728\u952f\u6750\u4f9d\u8d56\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Homebuilders<\/strong>\u7684\u5e02\u51c0\u7387\u4e3a1.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e<strong>S&amp;P500<\/strong>\u76845.3\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u6709300\u4e07\u5957\u4f4f\u623f\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84%E6%9C%BA%E4%BC%9A%E4%B8%8E%E9%81%BF%E5%85%8D\"><strong>\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u4e0e\u907f\u514d<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>US\u5efa\u7b51\u5546\u80a1\u8fd1\u671f\u56e0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u548c\u5173\u7a0e\u538b\u529b\u521b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u964d\u81f3\u4e94\u6708\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u5f00\u5de5\u653e\u7f13\uff0cToll 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