{"id":9115,"date":"2025-03-14T01:28:59","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T06:28:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=9115"},"modified":"2025-03-14T01:29:02","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T06:29:02","slug":"%e6%bb%9e%e8%83%80%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93-%e6%88%90%e4%b8%ba%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e4%b8%8b%e8%b7%8c%e4%b8%ad%e7%bd%95%e8%a7%81%e8%b5%a2%e5%ae%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diaomao.cc\/?p=9115","title":{"rendered":"\u6ede\u80c0\u4ea4\u6613: \u6210\u4e3a\u7f8e\u80a1\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e2d\u7f55\u89c1\u8d62\u5bb6"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u968f\u7740\u7531\u00a0Donald Trump<\/strong>\u00a0\u603b\u7edf\u53cd\u590d\u65e0\u5e38\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6218\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u8fdb\u5165\u7b2c\u4e09\u5468\uff0c\u5bfb\u6c42\u907f\u9669\u7684\u6210\u529f\u7b56\u7565\u5be5\u5be5\u65e0\u51e0\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b56\u7565\u6b63\u5728\u98d9\u5347\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e8e\u5728\u9677\u5165\u6ede\u80c0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5bf9\u51b2\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.\u00a0\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e8e\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u7b49\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u505a\u7a7a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u975e\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\u884c\u4e1a\u3001\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u548c\u65e0\u76c8\u5229\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u3002<\/strong>\u622a\u81f3\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a\u7a7a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u4e0a\u6da8\u8fd1 20%\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\u00a0S&P 500<\/strong>\u00a0\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86 5.3%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7ed9\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9brelief\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u901f\u5ea6\u4e3a\u56db\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u6700\u6162\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fdb\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u6ede\u80c0\uff0c\u5373\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u75b2\u8f6f\u76f8\u78b0\u649e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evercore ISI<\/strong> \u9996\u5e2d\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u91cf\u5316\u7b56\u7565\u5e08 Julian Emanuel<\/strong> \u8868\u793a\uff1a”\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u4f5c\u90fd\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u957f\u671f\u5b9e\u65bd\u5df2\u7ecf\u63d0\u8bae\u548c\u8003\u8651\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u589e\u957f\u5927\u5e45\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u914d\u65b9\u3002”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evercore\u00a0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5f53\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u964d\u81f3 1.5% \u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u80c0\uff08\u6838\u5fc3\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u6307\u6570\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\u5230 3% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u6ede\u80c0\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5c06\u89e6\u53d1\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u718a\u5e02\u9884\u671f\uff0cS&P 500<\/strong>\u00a0\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u8dcc\u81f3 5,200 \u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u4e3a 5,600 \u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u60c5\u7eea\u6076\u5316\u5df2\u7ecf\u4fc3\u4f7f\u8bb8\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5c55\u671b\u3002Goldman<\/strong> \u7684 Jan Hatzius<\/strong> \u5468\u4e00\u5c06 2025 \u5e74 GDP \u9884\u6d4b\u4ece 2.4% \u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3 1.7%\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u3002\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u60b2\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u84dd\u7b79\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u4e5f\u5728\u6076\u5316\u3002\u4e24\u5bb6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5b9e\u529b\u6674\u96e8\u8868\u7684 Walmart Inc.<\/strong> \u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u6ede\u80c0\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u8c01\u662f\u8d62\u5bb6\uff1f\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u65e0\u8bba\u7ecf\u6d4e\u591a\u4e48\u75b2\u8f6f\u90fd\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7a33\u5b9a\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u5fc5\u9700\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u7b49\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u884c\u4e1a\u662f 2025 \u5e74\u00a0S&P 500\u00a0\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u597d\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Goldman<\/strong> \u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9a\u5236\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u56e2\u961f\u526f\u603b\u88c1 Faris Mourad<\/strong> \u5728\u5468\u4e00\u7ed9\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a”\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e0c\u671b\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4f4d\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5e76\u5bf9\u51b2\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6ede\u80c0\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u559c\u6b22\u6211\u4eec\u7684’\u6ede\u80c0’\u591a\u7a7a\u5bf9\u51b2\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u3002”\u81ea 2022 \u5e74 Federal Reserve<\/strong> \u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8be5\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u5728\u5168\u5e74\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u6ca1\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7 S&P 500<\/strong> \u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Evercore ISI Research<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Linvest21\u00a0\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u517c\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u00a0David Lin\u00a0\u5efa\u8bae\u5173\u6ce8\u90a3\u4e9b\u62e5\u6709\u7a33\u5b9a\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42\u5e76\u80fd\u6210\u529f\u5c06\u6210\u672c\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7ed9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002Lin\u00a0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6709\u5229\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u4e1a\u548c\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u80a1\u7968\u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u73b0\u826f\u597d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6839\u636e\u00a0Lin\u00a0\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\u5de8\u5934\u00a0Johnson & Johnson\u00a0\u548c\u00a0Procter & Gamble Co.\u00a0\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6ede\u80c0\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5b83\u4eec\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u884c\u4e1a\uff0cLin\u00a0\u8ba4\u4e3a\u00a0NextEra Energy Inc.\u00a0\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5229\u7528\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\u7684\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd9\u79cd\u9700\u6c42\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u6216\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4ecd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u5173\u952e\u8bcd<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  1. \u6ede\u80c0<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Goldman-Sachs<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. S&P-500<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u884c\u4e1a<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. Trump<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    <\/h4>\n\n\n\n

    \u9884\u6d4b<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

    \u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u6ede\u80c0\u671f\uff0cGDP\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u81f31.5%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u52303%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4S&P 500\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u8dcc\u81f35,200\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/h4>\n\n\n\n

    \u6570\u636e\u6458\u8981<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Goldman Sachs\u7684\u6ede\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0a\u6da8\u8fd120%\uff0c\u800cS&P 500\u4e0b\u8dcc5.3%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Goldman\u5c062025\u5e74GDP\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece2.4%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f31.7%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Evercore\u9884\u6d4b\u6ede\u80c0\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0bS&P 500\u53ef\u80fd\u8dcc\u81f35,200\u70b9\uff08\u76ee\u524d\u7ea65,600\u70b9\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      <\/h4>\n\n\n\n

      \u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u5206\u6790<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      1. \u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u884c\u4e1a\u5982\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u5fc5\u9700\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u73b0\u8f83\u597d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      2. \u5173\u6ce8\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7a33\u5b9a\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5982Johnson & Johnson\u548cProcter & Gamble<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      3. \u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u5982NextEra Energy\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u65f6\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u97e7\u6027<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      4. \u907f\u514d\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u975e\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\u3001\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u548c\u65e0\u76c8\u5229\u79d1\u6280\u80a1<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

        <\/h4>\n\n\n\n

        \u76f8\u5173\u6295\u8d44\u5de5\u5177<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        1. Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        2. Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        3. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

          <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          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